Mayoral support in the 2010 Toronto election

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  • February 10, 2011

Figures 5, 6, and 7 show the magnitude of support for the three major candidates. In each case, the candidate’s support is strongest in the constituency he previously represented. Ford secured an absolute majority of votes in most of the suburban zone and also had significant support in parts of the former City of Toronto. Again, we see that Smitherman’s support was more dispersed. His percentage of the vote was less than 25% in much of Etobicoke, York, and western North York.

Figure 5: Support for Ford, by VSD

2010_pct_Ford

Figure 6: Support for Smitherman, by VSD

2010_pct_Smitherman

Pantalone’s support was weak almost everywhere outside his home ward. In the western part of the city, his support generally corresponds to areas with a higher proportion of residents of Italian origin, suggesting that ethnic solidarity may have shaped the geography of his vote.

Figure 7a: Support for Pantalone, by VSD

2010_pct_Pantalone

Figure 7b: Proportion of population of Italian origin, by census tract (Census 2006)

2006_CT_Italian

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